Showing posts with label wilmer flores. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wilmer flores. Show all posts

Monday, September 30, 2013

Five Bold Moves the Mets Should Make this Offseason

by John Vittas


1. Sign a Big-Time Outfielder


This is obvious. A legit power-hitting corner outfielder has been a glaring need ever since Jason Bay signed that wretched contract. The only two Mets outfielders worthy of the Major Leagues in my opinion are Eric Young and Juan Lagares. Both are speedsters. Therefore, New York needs a power guy to bat fourth and protect David Wright.


Fortunately, there are some options in the free agent market. Unfortunately, they will cost a pretty penny. There are now six free agent outfielders that hit 20 home runs this year: Shin-Soo Choo, Marlon Byrd, Coco Crisp, Carlos Beltran, Nelson Cruz and Raul Ibanez.


Jacoby Ellsbury and Curtis Granderson are also out there.


It makes sense to stay away from Beltran and Ibanez based on age. Ellsbury is likely to re-sign with Boston. Bringing in Byrd, Crisp, Granderson or Cruz wouldn’t cost as much, and the Mets get what they want, home runs. However, Cruz and Byrd are convicted drug users, Crisp has only performed in Oakland, and Granderson, well he’s a Yankee.


Therefore, Shin-Soo Choo makes the most sense.


Choo has stayed on the field and been a consistent hitter throughout his career. The Korean is a career .289 hitter and has stolen 20 bases or more in four of the past five seasons. But the reason Sandy Alderson has targeted Choo is his .423 on-base percentage this year. The guy gets on base more than anyone in the NL besides his teammate and fellow walking machine, Joey Votto. When you factor in his 57 extra-base-hits this season, Choo is the full package.

Shin-Soo Choo (photo: zimbio.com)


No matter who it is, the Mets need to bring in one of the players listed above. If not two.



2. Trade for Troy Tulowitzki

Troy Tulowitzki (photo: Dwayne McDonald)


Yes, this is going to require the surrendering of several good prospects. Yes, the Mets would owe Tulowitzki 134 million dollars over seven years. But, the offense Tulowitzki provides at the shortstop position is hard to come by, not only for the Mets, but for the whole sport. The open wound inflicted by Jose Reyes’ departure has yet to heal, and what better bandage than the best offensive shortstop in the game?


Also, the free agent pool for shortstops doesn’t tickle many fancies. Jhonny Peralta, Yunel Escobar and Stephen Drew highlight the list of unimpressive options. Escobar and Drew both hit under .260 and Peralta is coming off a drug suspension. Not to mention the price will likely be high for all three.


So instead of overpaying for a stopgap, past-his-prime infielder, why not land the biggest fish of all? On September 23, Metsblog.com asked fans if they would give up Rafael Montero, Travis d’Arnaud and Dillon Gee for Tulowitzki. 58% said yes.


While parting with d’Arnaud would be difficult, Gee and Montero are certainly replaceable with the depth the Mets have at starting pitcher. It makes for a good debate.



3. Give Daniel Murphy a 3-year contract


For a team that has lacked consistent, Major League bats, Daniel Murphy is one of two exceptions (the other being David Wright). Regardless of how high you are on Mets’ infield prospects (particularly Wilmer Flores), it's wise to go with the sure bet, and none is safer than Daniel Murphy. The guy can hit. If you disagree with that, go follow a different sport.


Let’s put his production into perspective. He finished second in the National League in hits this year (higher than Votto, McCutchen, Goldschmidt, Molina, or either Gonzalez). Murphy ranked in the top-10 in runs scored, doubles and total bases. He’s started more games than any other Met in the past four years, and is a career .290 hitter. The numbers speak for themselves.

Daniel Murphy (photo: Joe Janish - metstoday.com)


Murphy is under team control for two more years, but will earn what he’s worth in arbitration. So why not show him some love and lock him up for three more years? It shouldn’t take more than 35 million or so, and you get yourself a winner and a guaranteed 180 hits.



4. Trade away Wilmer Flores


I’m a big believer in keeping all the Big League bats on a roster, regardless of positional issues. However, Flores just doesn’t fit with the Mets. The only two positions he can play are occupied by the only two Major League bats the team has (Wright and Murphy).


Wilmer’s debut was disappointing, and he couldn’t even get consistent starts with David Wright on the DL. When’s he going to play when Wright is healthy? Additionally, Flores is just plain unathletic. His catching and throwing skills are fine, but it hurts to watch someone trip over a base and sprain their ankle.


I’m being a little harsh on Flores, I mean he’s only been in the Majors for a month. After all, I do think he will have a long career as a starter at this level. But the thing is, so do other teams. Therefore, his greatest value to the Mets is as trade bait. Whether they package him for a shortstop, outfielder or pitcher, Flores plus a young arm can yield noteworthy returns.

Wilmer Flores (photo: Jason Lempert - Bleacher Report)



5. Cut Ike Davis


No one was a bigger Ike Davis fan than me. I bought his jersey, looked to him for hope, and thought he would be slugging homers for a long time. But I think it’s time to cut him loose.


Maybe he heads out west and finds himself. But the bottom line is, the Mets have better, less expensive offensive options at first base in Josh Satin and Lucas Duda. It’s just the nature of the game. Satin batted .280 this year, while Davis labored to the Mendoza line. Who would you rather have?


Besides, if Satin or Duda don’t cut it, the Mets can sign a guy like Lyle Overbay to a cheap one-year deal and get more offense than they would from Davis.

Ike Davis (photo: Will Leitch - nymag.com)



Friday, February 8, 2013

Top 10 Mets Infield Prospects

by John Vittas

10. Matt Reynolds


Univ. of Arkansas (2nd Round of the 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                           Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 22

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: very versatile infielder, decent speed and solid in the field, a natural line-drive hitter, compact, short stroke, good plate discipline, hits well with runners on base, athletic, has leadership qualities

Negatives: only average power, lacking a position: not enough for corner infield spot, may not be good enough defensively to be a Major League shortstop

ETA: 2015
Matt Reynolds

Projection: Reynolds is described as a high floor, low ceiling kind of player. Therefore, the Tulsa native projects as a utility infielder if he reaches the highest level. He was a captain at Arkansas and is the high-character leader you want in a locker room.
Best-Case Scenario: reliable, utility infielder (Ryan Theriot type)

MLB.com Ranks: #18 in system (#5 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Pure Hitter of the Draft Class
Across the John Rank: #52 overall



9. Wilfredo Tovar

Signed as an International Free Agent in 2007 (Venezuela)

Bats: Right                               Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: excellent defender, good arm, rarely strikes out (8.6%), had enough power this year (28 doubles), held his own in Double-A

Negatives: will never hit home runs, undersized for a pro athlete (5’10”/160 wet and standing on a phone book)

ETA: 2014

Wilfredo Tovar


Projection: Tovar does not look like a future Major Leaguer at first glance, but he has produced at every level and is a superb shortstop. He has to hit for a high average or he will never be a starter. The Venezuelan is straight out of the mold of Ruben Tejada, literally identical.
Best Case Scenario: he hits like Tejada is in the Majors

MLB.com Ranks: #16 in system (#4 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Defensive Infielder in the System
John Vittas Rank: #48 overall



8. T.J. Rivera

Signed as an Undrafted Free Agent in 2011 (Troy University)

Bats: Right                                           Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: off-the-charts numbers at every level so far, hits much better with runners on base, decent power (42 extra-base hits)

Negatives: lacks any outstanding tools, not considered a prospect by most

ETA: 2015

T.J. Rivera

Projection: It’s really hard to project Rivera. He doesn’t profile as a Major Leaguer so if he makes it, he’ll be a man who is defined by beating the odds, which he’s been doing since he was passed up in every single draft he was eligible for. There is no best and worst case scenarios for this guy, he blew through his ceiling a long time ago. I wouldn’t bet against him, so that's why he makes my list.
Best Case Scenario: TBD

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Ranking: #45 overall



7. Jayce Boyd

Florida State University (6th Round of the 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: plus defender, exceptional arm and good speed for a first baseman, smooth swing, natural power to all fields, Major League body, walks a ton, one of the best hitters of the decade in the ACC

Negatives: not enough power to be prototypical power-hitting first baseman (20 HR in 727 college ABs), didn’t fair too well in his first pro season (.239 average)

ETA: 2015

Jayce Boyd


Projection: Boyd’s a guy who I am particularly high on. He tore up one of the highest levels of college baseball for three straight years. He stole 22 bases, slugged 78 extra-base-hits and drove in 160 runs in 198 collegiate games. And when you consider his .424 career OBP, the kid is a consistent, well-rounded prospect. To me, he’s a sixth round steal and could be an everyday Major League player one day.
Best Case Scenario: right-handed Adam LaRoche with a little less power

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #34 overall



6.    Dustin Lawley

West Florida (19th Round of 2011 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 23

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: no particular weakness, solid all-around player, run producer, hits a ton of doubles, good power, can play multiple positions, aggressive hitter, plays the game hard

Negatives: age, strikes out too much, could be more selective

ETA: 2015


Dustin Lawley

Projection: Lawley was one of the most productive hitters in the organization in 2012, and earned that title while playing in a pitching-dominated league. He doesn’t get cheated at the plate, and has legitimate power to all fields. Dustin can play outfield, although his main position is third base, so he’ll have to keep developing his defensive skills elsewhere if he wants to be a Met one day. A couple of comparisons Mets fans should be somewhat familiar with who Lawley emulates: Zach Lutz at the plate, Collin Cowgill everywhere else
Best Case Scenario: power-hitting third corner outfielder

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #31 overall



    5. Phillip Evans

La Costa Canyon H.S. (Carlsbad, CA) (15th Round of 2011 Draft)
     
     Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

     Opening Day Age: 20

    Projected Opening Day Assignment: Low-A Savannah

    Positives: has every skill necessary to be a good SS, works counts and walks a lot, good defender, short, compact swing, plays hard, embraces the spotlight, ahead of the age clock

    Negatives: power isn’t immense, needs to learn how to get out of slumps, needs to hit the breaking ball better

    ETA: 2015


Phillip Evans

    Projection: Evans is one of those guys who just stands out on a baseball field. Even though he’s small and doesn’t hit skyscraping bombs, Phillip plays with an intensity and a swagger that makes people notice him. He’s a line drive machine who definitely has Major League potential even without plus speed or power.
    Best Case Scenario: Elvis Andrus without the speed or a flashier Ruben Tejada

    MLB.com Ranks: #19 in system (#6 infielder)
    Across the John Rank: #24 overall



     4.    Danny Muno

Fresno State (8th Round of 2011 Draft)

Bats: Switch                                         Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: never strikes out, walks at an incredible rate (14.7%) can play multiple positions, very good athlete, has some pop
Negatives: suspended 50 games for failed PED test, struggled in the Arizona Fall League

ETA: 2014

Danny Muno

Projection: Muno is being groomed as a utility man, although I do think he will be able to man an everyday position one day. He has hit on a consistent basis after being drafted out of Fresno State. His athleticism should help his defensive stock as he hits the upper levels.
Best Case Scenario: Marco Scutaro

Baseball America: Best Plate Discipline in System
Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #21 overall





     3. Aderlin Rodriguez

Signed as an International free agent at 16 years old

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: most power of any Minor Leaguer, can be a 30-40 HR guy in the Bigs, good arm, hit 51 XBH this year and drove in 83 runs, had his best season in 2012

Negatives: very little range, has never hit for a high average, takes a while to adjust to each level, doesn’t have a set position, blocked by Davis and Wright

ETA: 2015

Aderlin Rodriguez

Projection: With a tremendous bounce back season in 2012, Aderlin Rodriguez is back on the map as a legitimate Major League prospect. His 24 home runs and 83 RBIs lead all Minor Leaguers. He got his average up to a respectable .263 as well, and sported a slugging percentage of .476. It took Aderlin nearly two years to figure out the SAL, but he’s only 21 so there’s still plenty of time for him to keep improving. For a team that desperately needs power, this man is the most pure source they have outside of New York.
Best Case Scenario: Aramis Ramirez with less of an average

Not in any Major Rankings
Baseball America: Best Power Hitter in Organization
Baseball America: Best Infield Arm in the System
Across the John Rank: #16 overall




     2.    Gavin Cecchini

     Barbe H.S. (Lake Charles, LA) (1st Round, 12th overall in 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 19

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Short Season-A Brooklyn

Positives: great all-around shortstop beyond his years, incredible athlete, great baseball mind/instincts, advanced hitting skills, good arm and baserunning ability

Negatives: not one tool is super special, needs to develop more power if he’s going to be a star

ETA: 2016


Gavin Cecchini

Projection: Cecchini is a teenager and still has a lot to prove, but he has all the makings of a Major League shortstop. From playing on ESPN at 12 years old in the Little League World Series to having a brother who is a Red Sox prospect, Gavin has the spotlight and pedigree questions answered already. His humble attitude and raw ability adds up to a kid who has absolutely nothing stopping him from being a starting infielder in the Big Leagues. It’s all within his control.
Best Case Scenario: Erick Aybar with leadership capabilities

MLB.com Ranks: #6 prospect in system (#1 infielder)
Baseball Prospectus Ranks: #6 prospect in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: #2 prospect in system (#1 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Pure Hitter of the 2012 draft class
Across the John Rank: #8 overall



      1.    Wilmer Flores

Signed as an International free agent in 2007

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Triple-A Las Vegas

Positives: naturally powerful person, makes consistent contact, good plate discipline, has developed legit power, .300 average with 50 XBH last year, always stays healthy

Negatives: slow-footed, doesn’t have a position, average defensively

ETA: late 2013 / early 2014


Wilmer Flores

Projection: Flores is a natural hitter who has rekindled his stock in many prospect rankings after a strong 2012. With the Mets infield seemingly set, it’s hard to picture Flores playing for the Mets this year. He’s probably almost ready to contribute and can be an impact bat very soon, but he needs to find a position first. My guess is they try him at second base and trade Daniel Murphy next year if Flores performs in Las Vegas. Wilmer hits a lot of fly balls, so it’s very possible that the thin PCL air sends his home run totals to the moon. If an infielder gets hurt for the long-term, it’s very possible we see the Venezuelan this season.
Best Case Scenario: poor man’s Miguel Cabrera

MLB.com Ranks: #7 in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: #6 in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Hitter for Average in the System
Baseball Prospectus Ranks: #5 in system (#1 infielder)
Across the John Rankings: #5 overall


Honorable Mention: Eric Campbell (#57), Allan Dykstra (#64), Jeff Diehl (#73), Robbie Shields (#77)