Showing posts with label aderlin rodriguez. Show all posts
Showing posts with label aderlin rodriguez. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 3, 2013

Mets Prospect Countdown: No. 21-30

by John Vittas (@JohnVittas3)

40. OF Darrell Ceciliani
39. RHP Luis Cessa
38. RHP Cameron Griffin
37. SS Jeff McNeil
36. OF Joe Tuschak
35. 1B Matt Oberste
34. RHP Hansel Robles
33. RHP Akeel Morris
32. OF Champ Stuart
31. OF Ivan Wilson

To read John's breakdown of Prospects No. 31-40, click here.


30. RAINY LARA - RHP

Bani, Dominican Republic - signed as International free agent

Opening Day Age: 23

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

General Numbers: 26 walks in 129.2 IPs, 1.42 ERA in 8 SAL starts
Relevant Numbers: K/9 dropped from 9 to 6.1 when he jumped levels

Positives: Rainy led the Minor Leagues in ERA for much of 2013 and was downright dominant in A-ball this year. His fastball has late, arm-side run at 90-92 which helps him miss the barrel of the bat. He throws strikes and disguises his changeup well. At 6-4, there’s still some projectability here.

Negatives:  Lara’s motion isn’t pretty and a bit stiff. He’s primarily fastball/changeup. He’s gotten outs with his slider but it isn’t going to fool many Big Leaguers. His ERA jumped from 1.42 to 3.76 upon his promotion to the FSL so unless he can develop a bigger breaking ball, expect him to become more hittable as he ascends through the system. He projects as a strike-throwing long reliever.

Style: Sidney Ponson

Across the John Preseason Top 100: 23
ATJ Midseason Top 50: 9

Jonathan Mayo Top 20: Not Ranked





29. LUIS MATEO - RHP

Nizao, Dominican Republic - signed as free agent

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Rehab

General Numbers: 57 hits allowed in 73 IPs in Brooklyn in 2012

Positives: Mateo has been ranked as high as the No. 4 prospect in the system. He lives in the mid-90s with a slider that was unanimously tabbed as the “Best in the System” in 2012.

Negatives: Luis barely pitched in 2013 and was forced to undergo Tommy John surgery in May. He’s 23 years old and has yet to pitch 150 Minor League innings, which is a major issue. Assuming he won’t pitch until mid-season, this most recent setback could seal Mateo’s fate as a reliever. If he’s not effective this season, it could be the end of the line for the talented Dominican.

Style: Edinson Volquez

Across the John Preseason Top 100: 18
ATJ Midseason Top 50: 40
Jonathan Mayo Top 20: 15




28. DUSTIN LAWLEY - OF

University of West Florida - 19th Round of the 2011 Draft

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

General Numbers: 26 HRs, 96 RBIs in 128 games (mostly High-A St. Lucie)
Relevant Numbers: .513 SLG with a .481 career mark (guy’s got pop)

Positives: It might be time to start taking Dustin Lawley seriously. He led all Mets prospects in home runs, extra-base hits and total bases this season. His numbers were flat out eye-popping and Lawley’s late-season promotion to Triple-A shows that the Mets’ executives are going to give him a shot.

Negatives: Age, age and age. Lawley is a 24-year old A-ball hitter. Doubters will attribute his 2013 success to his advanced age. He has a hitch in his swing and too much wasted motion in his lower body. Clearly, this hasn’t been a problem for Dustin thus far.

Style: Chris Johnson

Across the John Preseason Top 100: 31
ATJ Midseason Top 50: 26
Jonathan Mayo Top 20: Not Ranked




27. ADERLIN RODRIGUEZ - 3B

Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic - signed as International free agent

Opening Day Age: 22

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

General Numbers: only walked 11 times in 62 games (High-A St. Lucie)
Relevant Numbers: second straight year with an average above .260 (batted .221 in 2011)

Positives: Rodriguez hit for power with St. Lucie (.167 IsoSLG) this year and generates big-time bat speed. Many say he has the most raw power in the Mets system. He’s also slimmed down which has helped him defensively (now listed at 210 lbs).

Negatives: A-Rod missed the whole second half of the season due to injury, and in effect, probably still has more to prove at the A-ball level. His slow development has put him behind the 8-ball in terms of age, and a .194 average in the Arizona Fall League won’t help his prospect status, either. The other issue is he plays third base and will have to learn a new position if he ever sniffs the Major Leagues.

Style: Adrian Beltre without the high average

Across the John Preseason Top 100: 16
ATJ Midseason Top 50: 28
Jonathan Mayo Top 20: Not Ranked




26. JARED KING - OF

Kansas State University - Fifth Round of the 2013 Draft

Opening Day Age: 22

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

General Numbers: 1.030 OPS at K-State this year
Relevant Numbers: 21 SB and 42 XBH in 119 games in 2013

Positives: King was a premium NCAA hitter, and will benefit greatly from leaving early. After a good showing in his first dose of pro ball, Jared could skip ahead to St. Lucie in 2014. He’s a switch hitter with solid all-around tools. His swing from both sides is nearly flawless, displaying good balance and rhythym. Keep an eye on King as a potential break-out guy in 2014.

Negatives: Despite being a respectable defensive outfielder, King doesn’t have one position that he excels at. He’s athletic enough to play some center, but projects better as a left fielder due to a sub-par arm.

Style: Nick Swisher

Across the John Preseason Top 100: Not in System
ATJ Midseason Top 50: 32
Jonathan Mayo Top 20: Not Ranked




25. MILLER DIAZ - RHP

Caracas, Venezuela - Signed as International Free Agent

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: A-ball Savannah

General Numbers: 2.03 ERA over 12 starts, 44 hits allowed in 66 innings (A Brooklyn)
Relevant Numbers: 11.75 K/9 - No. 1 of all starting pitching prospects

Positives: Diaz has gradually been able to turn his gifted arm into a strikeout machine over his four years of pro ball. Turning in his best season of his career in 2013, Diaz led all starting pitching prospects in both H/9 (5.9) and K/9 (11.75). His fastball is consistently in the mid-90s, and he personally told me he touched 98 this summer. All of his offerings are swing-and-miss caliber pitches,with the fastball being the moneymaker.

Negatives: Per the status quo for guys like Diaz, he needs more consistent command with all pitches and should continue to refine his off-speed pitches. Scouts say his breaking ball is a little too loopy and his changeup is recognizable. If he knocks out those kinks, Diaz can be an impact Major League arm.

Comparison: Edward Mujica?

Across the John Preseason Top 100: 40
ATJ Midseason Top 50: Not Ranked
Jonathan Mayo Top 20: Not Ranked




24. JOHN GANT - RHP

Wiregrass Ranch HS (FL) - 21st Round of the 2011 Draft

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: A-ball Savannah

General Numbers: .206 opponent average; allowed only 51 hits in 73 innings
Relevant Numbers: 1 of 2 pitchers of the NYPL to eclipse 80 Ks this season

Positives: After two years of grooming, the Mets have made John Gant into a dominant professional pitcher. They paid overslot to yank him away from his LIU Brooklyn commitment, and have turned his potential into reality. The sky is the limit for Gant, as his wiry 6-3 frame gives him all sorts of advantages on the mound.

Negatives: His offspeed pitches were rated as average-at-best by many scouts when Gant was drafted. Considering he’s not terribly overpowering, it’s pretty clear he’s improved his curve and change.

Style: Bronson Arroyo?

Across the John Preseason Top 100: 99
ATJ Midseason Top 50: Not Ranked
Jonathan Mayo Top 20: Not Ranked



23. LJ MAZZILLI - 2B

Univ. of Connecticut - 4th Round of the 2013 Draft

Opening Day Age: 23

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Basic Numbers: .970 career OPS at UConn with 101 XBH and 60 SBs in 212 games
Relevant Numbers: led the Cyclones in AVG and RBIs in 2013

Positives: The younger Mazzilli was the Big East Player of the Year after a .354 season. The kid can flat out hit. All he’s ever done is put up numbers and be a leader. He has surprising speed and is polished at the plate. He should have no problem handling A-ball and is on the fast-track to the upper levels.

Negatives: Some say his ceiling is low and he’s not athletic enough to be a Major League middle infielder. But if he hits, he’ll be there.

Style: Ian Kinsler

Across the John Preseason Top 100: Not in System
ATJ Midseason Top 50: 46
Jonathan Mayo Top 20: Not Ranked

A little local news piece on LJ


22. CORY MAZZONI - RHP

North Carolina State University - 2nd Round of the 2011 Draft

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Triple-A Las Vegas

Basic Numbers: 4.36 ERA over 12 Double-A starts; 70 hits allowed in 66 innings
Relevant Numbers: K-rate went from 6.5 in 2012 to 10.1 this year

Positives: Mazzoni has mid-90s heat and a reliable slider-splitter combo that could make him an excellent late-innings reliever. He throws strikes, having only walked only 14 batters in 66 innings.

Negatives: He battled injuries throughout 2013 and was only able to make 12 starts. It’s looking less and less likely that the NC State grad will be a Major League starter. Opponents hit .275 off him this year in the pitching-friendly Eastern League. It stands to reason that his arsenal might be more effective in relief.

Style: Brian Wilson (just the pitching)

Across the John Preseason Top 200: 22
ATJ Midseason Top 50: 27
Jonathan Mayo Top 20: 12




21. TYLER BASHLOR - RHP

South Georgia College - 11th Round of the 2013 Draft

Opening Day Age: 20

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Short-Season A Brooklyn

Relevant Numbers: 18 strikeouts in under 16 pro innings, but he walked 12 (R Kingsport)

Positives: Bashlor has a very live arm and has touched 96. When you factor in his sharp slider and unflappable mound presence, the Georgia native could be headed to a Big League bullpen some time down the road. If he continues to develop his curveball, there’s no telling how good he can be.

Negatives: Like most young fireballers, Bashlor needs to improve his control. Unfortunately, the only way he’s been able to do that is by taking mph’s off his heater. He's at least three years away.

Comparison: Jenrry Mejia

Across the John Preseason Top 100: Not in System
ATJ Midseason Top 50: Not Ranked
Jonathan Mayo Top 20: Not Ranked

Friday, February 8, 2013

Top 10 Mets Infield Prospects

by John Vittas

10. Matt Reynolds


Univ. of Arkansas (2nd Round of the 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                           Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 22

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: very versatile infielder, decent speed and solid in the field, a natural line-drive hitter, compact, short stroke, good plate discipline, hits well with runners on base, athletic, has leadership qualities

Negatives: only average power, lacking a position: not enough for corner infield spot, may not be good enough defensively to be a Major League shortstop

ETA: 2015
Matt Reynolds

Projection: Reynolds is described as a high floor, low ceiling kind of player. Therefore, the Tulsa native projects as a utility infielder if he reaches the highest level. He was a captain at Arkansas and is the high-character leader you want in a locker room.
Best-Case Scenario: reliable, utility infielder (Ryan Theriot type)

MLB.com Ranks: #18 in system (#5 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Pure Hitter of the Draft Class
Across the John Rank: #52 overall



9. Wilfredo Tovar

Signed as an International Free Agent in 2007 (Venezuela)

Bats: Right                               Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: excellent defender, good arm, rarely strikes out (8.6%), had enough power this year (28 doubles), held his own in Double-A

Negatives: will never hit home runs, undersized for a pro athlete (5’10”/160 wet and standing on a phone book)

ETA: 2014

Wilfredo Tovar


Projection: Tovar does not look like a future Major Leaguer at first glance, but he has produced at every level and is a superb shortstop. He has to hit for a high average or he will never be a starter. The Venezuelan is straight out of the mold of Ruben Tejada, literally identical.
Best Case Scenario: he hits like Tejada is in the Majors

MLB.com Ranks: #16 in system (#4 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Defensive Infielder in the System
John Vittas Rank: #48 overall



8. T.J. Rivera

Signed as an Undrafted Free Agent in 2011 (Troy University)

Bats: Right                                           Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: off-the-charts numbers at every level so far, hits much better with runners on base, decent power (42 extra-base hits)

Negatives: lacks any outstanding tools, not considered a prospect by most

ETA: 2015

T.J. Rivera

Projection: It’s really hard to project Rivera. He doesn’t profile as a Major Leaguer so if he makes it, he’ll be a man who is defined by beating the odds, which he’s been doing since he was passed up in every single draft he was eligible for. There is no best and worst case scenarios for this guy, he blew through his ceiling a long time ago. I wouldn’t bet against him, so that's why he makes my list.
Best Case Scenario: TBD

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Ranking: #45 overall



7. Jayce Boyd

Florida State University (6th Round of the 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: plus defender, exceptional arm and good speed for a first baseman, smooth swing, natural power to all fields, Major League body, walks a ton, one of the best hitters of the decade in the ACC

Negatives: not enough power to be prototypical power-hitting first baseman (20 HR in 727 college ABs), didn’t fair too well in his first pro season (.239 average)

ETA: 2015

Jayce Boyd


Projection: Boyd’s a guy who I am particularly high on. He tore up one of the highest levels of college baseball for three straight years. He stole 22 bases, slugged 78 extra-base-hits and drove in 160 runs in 198 collegiate games. And when you consider his .424 career OBP, the kid is a consistent, well-rounded prospect. To me, he’s a sixth round steal and could be an everyday Major League player one day.
Best Case Scenario: right-handed Adam LaRoche with a little less power

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #34 overall



6.    Dustin Lawley

West Florida (19th Round of 2011 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 23

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: no particular weakness, solid all-around player, run producer, hits a ton of doubles, good power, can play multiple positions, aggressive hitter, plays the game hard

Negatives: age, strikes out too much, could be more selective

ETA: 2015


Dustin Lawley

Projection: Lawley was one of the most productive hitters in the organization in 2012, and earned that title while playing in a pitching-dominated league. He doesn’t get cheated at the plate, and has legitimate power to all fields. Dustin can play outfield, although his main position is third base, so he’ll have to keep developing his defensive skills elsewhere if he wants to be a Met one day. A couple of comparisons Mets fans should be somewhat familiar with who Lawley emulates: Zach Lutz at the plate, Collin Cowgill everywhere else
Best Case Scenario: power-hitting third corner outfielder

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #31 overall



    5. Phillip Evans

La Costa Canyon H.S. (Carlsbad, CA) (15th Round of 2011 Draft)
     
     Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

     Opening Day Age: 20

    Projected Opening Day Assignment: Low-A Savannah

    Positives: has every skill necessary to be a good SS, works counts and walks a lot, good defender, short, compact swing, plays hard, embraces the spotlight, ahead of the age clock

    Negatives: power isn’t immense, needs to learn how to get out of slumps, needs to hit the breaking ball better

    ETA: 2015


Phillip Evans

    Projection: Evans is one of those guys who just stands out on a baseball field. Even though he’s small and doesn’t hit skyscraping bombs, Phillip plays with an intensity and a swagger that makes people notice him. He’s a line drive machine who definitely has Major League potential even without plus speed or power.
    Best Case Scenario: Elvis Andrus without the speed or a flashier Ruben Tejada

    MLB.com Ranks: #19 in system (#6 infielder)
    Across the John Rank: #24 overall



     4.    Danny Muno

Fresno State (8th Round of 2011 Draft)

Bats: Switch                                         Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: never strikes out, walks at an incredible rate (14.7%) can play multiple positions, very good athlete, has some pop
Negatives: suspended 50 games for failed PED test, struggled in the Arizona Fall League

ETA: 2014

Danny Muno

Projection: Muno is being groomed as a utility man, although I do think he will be able to man an everyday position one day. He has hit on a consistent basis after being drafted out of Fresno State. His athleticism should help his defensive stock as he hits the upper levels.
Best Case Scenario: Marco Scutaro

Baseball America: Best Plate Discipline in System
Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #21 overall





     3. Aderlin Rodriguez

Signed as an International free agent at 16 years old

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: most power of any Minor Leaguer, can be a 30-40 HR guy in the Bigs, good arm, hit 51 XBH this year and drove in 83 runs, had his best season in 2012

Negatives: very little range, has never hit for a high average, takes a while to adjust to each level, doesn’t have a set position, blocked by Davis and Wright

ETA: 2015

Aderlin Rodriguez

Projection: With a tremendous bounce back season in 2012, Aderlin Rodriguez is back on the map as a legitimate Major League prospect. His 24 home runs and 83 RBIs lead all Minor Leaguers. He got his average up to a respectable .263 as well, and sported a slugging percentage of .476. It took Aderlin nearly two years to figure out the SAL, but he’s only 21 so there’s still plenty of time for him to keep improving. For a team that desperately needs power, this man is the most pure source they have outside of New York.
Best Case Scenario: Aramis Ramirez with less of an average

Not in any Major Rankings
Baseball America: Best Power Hitter in Organization
Baseball America: Best Infield Arm in the System
Across the John Rank: #16 overall




     2.    Gavin Cecchini

     Barbe H.S. (Lake Charles, LA) (1st Round, 12th overall in 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 19

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Short Season-A Brooklyn

Positives: great all-around shortstop beyond his years, incredible athlete, great baseball mind/instincts, advanced hitting skills, good arm and baserunning ability

Negatives: not one tool is super special, needs to develop more power if he’s going to be a star

ETA: 2016


Gavin Cecchini

Projection: Cecchini is a teenager and still has a lot to prove, but he has all the makings of a Major League shortstop. From playing on ESPN at 12 years old in the Little League World Series to having a brother who is a Red Sox prospect, Gavin has the spotlight and pedigree questions answered already. His humble attitude and raw ability adds up to a kid who has absolutely nothing stopping him from being a starting infielder in the Big Leagues. It’s all within his control.
Best Case Scenario: Erick Aybar with leadership capabilities

MLB.com Ranks: #6 prospect in system (#1 infielder)
Baseball Prospectus Ranks: #6 prospect in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: #2 prospect in system (#1 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Pure Hitter of the 2012 draft class
Across the John Rank: #8 overall



      1.    Wilmer Flores

Signed as an International free agent in 2007

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Triple-A Las Vegas

Positives: naturally powerful person, makes consistent contact, good plate discipline, has developed legit power, .300 average with 50 XBH last year, always stays healthy

Negatives: slow-footed, doesn’t have a position, average defensively

ETA: late 2013 / early 2014


Wilmer Flores

Projection: Flores is a natural hitter who has rekindled his stock in many prospect rankings after a strong 2012. With the Mets infield seemingly set, it’s hard to picture Flores playing for the Mets this year. He’s probably almost ready to contribute and can be an impact bat very soon, but he needs to find a position first. My guess is they try him at second base and trade Daniel Murphy next year if Flores performs in Las Vegas. Wilmer hits a lot of fly balls, so it’s very possible that the thin PCL air sends his home run totals to the moon. If an infielder gets hurt for the long-term, it’s very possible we see the Venezuelan this season.
Best Case Scenario: poor man’s Miguel Cabrera

MLB.com Ranks: #7 in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: #6 in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Hitter for Average in the System
Baseball Prospectus Ranks: #5 in system (#1 infielder)
Across the John Rankings: #5 overall


Honorable Mention: Eric Campbell (#57), Allan Dykstra (#64), Jeff Diehl (#73), Robbie Shields (#77)