Showing posts with label top 10. Show all posts
Showing posts with label top 10. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Top Ten Disappointments of the 2013 Mets

by John Vittas

1. Matt Harvey’s Torn UCL

This was an absolute tragedy. It can only lead you to believe that the organization is cursed. Harvey represented everything that was “right” about the Mets. He signified the attitude, the skill set and the method for future success. And it all came crashing down at that August 26th press conference.

Harvey burned two months in ignorant denial, sealing the fate of his 2014 season. Beyond the fact that the Mets will be 6-8 games worse because of his absence, it’s disappointing purely because it will be another 17 months before we get to see him dazzling hitters again. Get well soon, Matthew.

Image: AP / sportingnews.com


The Fallout




2. Ike Davis

Ike has Regressed, with a capital R. His first half struggles have become a constant. His once-promising bat is now a liability. His .468 August OBP might keep him on the 2014 roster, but Ike has flaws in his swing that need to be corrected.

His confidence needs to be resurrected and he’d be well-served to learn how to hit a breaking ball on the outer half of the plate. Unless he shows signs of a true Major League slugger in Spring Training, the Mets might be headed in another direction at first base.


3. David Wright’s Hamstring Pull

After signing his big 10-year deal, David Wright did exactly what he was paid to do. As the Mets entered the rebuilding stage of 2013, calling up their young prospects in August and September, it was Wright who was counted on to mentor them into Big Leaguers. But when he came up lame on August 2nd against Kansas City, the Mets lost their leader, essentially ending their season.

Still a presence in the clubhouse, Wright did what he could to help the youngsters from the bench, and even made it back to play seven games in September, but there’s no denying that his hamstring injury derailed his first season as the captain, leaving late-season Mets games anything but intriguing.

Image: Jay Jaffe (mlb.si.com)

4. Ruben Tejada

The kid appears to have hit his athletic peak at 21 years old, because the past two years have been a consistent free fall. He’s drawn the ire of his head coach and general manager with a lackluster work ethic. With three years remaining on his Mets’ clock, it’s curious as to whether Tejada will be dropped, traded or buried in Triple-A.

Speaking of Triple-A, Tejada ended up in Vegas this summer to rehab, and ended up being stuck there for 57 games (not sure if you can get “stuck” in Vegas). At the Major League level, his average dropped over 80 points and he looked incredibly benign at the plate. On top of it all, his sure-handed defense took a hit as well.



5. The Lackluster Debuts of Travis d’Arnaud and Wilmer Flores

Considering these two were the top position-player prospects in the system, a combined .206 average is not exactly what the Mets were looking for upon their arrival. Phenoms are supposed to look overzealous, not overmatched. And both d’Arnaud and Flores appeared lost at the plate at times in September.

d’Arnaud isn’t going anywhere, he’s going to have to figure it out - it’s that simple. On the other hand, the Mets have to make some serious judgements on Flores this winter.



6. The Demise of Jordany Valdespin

Valdespin may have been the most gifted athlete on the Opening Day roster, but he may be unemployed very soon. ‘Demise’ is definitely the right word. ‘Fall from grace’ is another. JV went from being one of the most exciting bench players in baseball in 2012 to an absolute pathogen in 2013.

A consistent pusher of the rules, Valdespin made up for it with offensive pazazz. But when he failed miserably on the field for the first time, his presence became a detriment. Tack on the 50-game drug suspension, and I’d be shocked to see Valdespin in Flushing ever again.

Let's Try to Remember This Valdespin




7. Bullpen Prospect Injuries: Josh Edgin and Jeurys Familia

As inconsistent as the Mets’ aging bullpen was in 2013, Josh Edgin and Jeurys Familia had two of the most promising arms coming into the year: Familia a highly touted prospect, and Edgin a southpaw 30th round steal. Both can chuck it in the mid-90s, but both had their seasons halted due to injury, forcing Collins to squeeze more out of guys like Scott Atchison, Scott Rice and LaTroy Hawkins. Personally, I would've rather seen Edgin and Familia.


8. Shaun Marcum

Shaun Marcum failed to be the Zack Wheeler placeholder he was supposed to be. 10 losses in 12 starts...ouch. His 5.29 ERA was better than 1.40 points higher than his career mark. It’s a shame too, because Marcum would have gotten plenty of late-season innings had he been effective.


9. Veteran Relievers (Aardsma, Atchison, Lyon, Feliciano, Byrdak)

With the exception of LaTroy Hawkins, none of the Mets’ veteran relievers were able to reinvent themselves and be high-leverage stoppers. Headlining the list, Brandon Lyon. The 10-year vet gave up 43 hits in 34 innings and couldn’t even make it to the All Star break.


10. Frank Francisco

Francisco must’ve had a thing for Port St. Lucie, because he had no desire to leave. And Terry Collins had no problem hiding him there. The guy who was meant to be New York’s closer wound up “rehabbing” a sore arm for five months, finally making it to the diamond just in time for the meaningless September slogs. Add him to the list of bad contracts, safe to say that $12 million went to waste.

Photo: Getty Images, zimbio.com



Friday, February 8, 2013

Top 10 Mets Infield Prospects

by John Vittas

10. Matt Reynolds


Univ. of Arkansas (2nd Round of the 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                           Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 22

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: very versatile infielder, decent speed and solid in the field, a natural line-drive hitter, compact, short stroke, good plate discipline, hits well with runners on base, athletic, has leadership qualities

Negatives: only average power, lacking a position: not enough for corner infield spot, may not be good enough defensively to be a Major League shortstop

ETA: 2015
Matt Reynolds

Projection: Reynolds is described as a high floor, low ceiling kind of player. Therefore, the Tulsa native projects as a utility infielder if he reaches the highest level. He was a captain at Arkansas and is the high-character leader you want in a locker room.
Best-Case Scenario: reliable, utility infielder (Ryan Theriot type)

MLB.com Ranks: #18 in system (#5 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Pure Hitter of the Draft Class
Across the John Rank: #52 overall



9. Wilfredo Tovar

Signed as an International Free Agent in 2007 (Venezuela)

Bats: Right                               Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: excellent defender, good arm, rarely strikes out (8.6%), had enough power this year (28 doubles), held his own in Double-A

Negatives: will never hit home runs, undersized for a pro athlete (5’10”/160 wet and standing on a phone book)

ETA: 2014

Wilfredo Tovar


Projection: Tovar does not look like a future Major Leaguer at first glance, but he has produced at every level and is a superb shortstop. He has to hit for a high average or he will never be a starter. The Venezuelan is straight out of the mold of Ruben Tejada, literally identical.
Best Case Scenario: he hits like Tejada is in the Majors

MLB.com Ranks: #16 in system (#4 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Defensive Infielder in the System
John Vittas Rank: #48 overall



8. T.J. Rivera

Signed as an Undrafted Free Agent in 2011 (Troy University)

Bats: Right                                           Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: off-the-charts numbers at every level so far, hits much better with runners on base, decent power (42 extra-base hits)

Negatives: lacks any outstanding tools, not considered a prospect by most

ETA: 2015

T.J. Rivera

Projection: It’s really hard to project Rivera. He doesn’t profile as a Major Leaguer so if he makes it, he’ll be a man who is defined by beating the odds, which he’s been doing since he was passed up in every single draft he was eligible for. There is no best and worst case scenarios for this guy, he blew through his ceiling a long time ago. I wouldn’t bet against him, so that's why he makes my list.
Best Case Scenario: TBD

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Ranking: #45 overall



7. Jayce Boyd

Florida State University (6th Round of the 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: plus defender, exceptional arm and good speed for a first baseman, smooth swing, natural power to all fields, Major League body, walks a ton, one of the best hitters of the decade in the ACC

Negatives: not enough power to be prototypical power-hitting first baseman (20 HR in 727 college ABs), didn’t fair too well in his first pro season (.239 average)

ETA: 2015

Jayce Boyd


Projection: Boyd’s a guy who I am particularly high on. He tore up one of the highest levels of college baseball for three straight years. He stole 22 bases, slugged 78 extra-base-hits and drove in 160 runs in 198 collegiate games. And when you consider his .424 career OBP, the kid is a consistent, well-rounded prospect. To me, he’s a sixth round steal and could be an everyday Major League player one day.
Best Case Scenario: right-handed Adam LaRoche with a little less power

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #34 overall



6.    Dustin Lawley

West Florida (19th Round of 2011 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 23

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: no particular weakness, solid all-around player, run producer, hits a ton of doubles, good power, can play multiple positions, aggressive hitter, plays the game hard

Negatives: age, strikes out too much, could be more selective

ETA: 2015


Dustin Lawley

Projection: Lawley was one of the most productive hitters in the organization in 2012, and earned that title while playing in a pitching-dominated league. He doesn’t get cheated at the plate, and has legitimate power to all fields. Dustin can play outfield, although his main position is third base, so he’ll have to keep developing his defensive skills elsewhere if he wants to be a Met one day. A couple of comparisons Mets fans should be somewhat familiar with who Lawley emulates: Zach Lutz at the plate, Collin Cowgill everywhere else
Best Case Scenario: power-hitting third corner outfielder

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #31 overall



    5. Phillip Evans

La Costa Canyon H.S. (Carlsbad, CA) (15th Round of 2011 Draft)
     
     Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

     Opening Day Age: 20

    Projected Opening Day Assignment: Low-A Savannah

    Positives: has every skill necessary to be a good SS, works counts and walks a lot, good defender, short, compact swing, plays hard, embraces the spotlight, ahead of the age clock

    Negatives: power isn’t immense, needs to learn how to get out of slumps, needs to hit the breaking ball better

    ETA: 2015


Phillip Evans

    Projection: Evans is one of those guys who just stands out on a baseball field. Even though he’s small and doesn’t hit skyscraping bombs, Phillip plays with an intensity and a swagger that makes people notice him. He’s a line drive machine who definitely has Major League potential even without plus speed or power.
    Best Case Scenario: Elvis Andrus without the speed or a flashier Ruben Tejada

    MLB.com Ranks: #19 in system (#6 infielder)
    Across the John Rank: #24 overall



     4.    Danny Muno

Fresno State (8th Round of 2011 Draft)

Bats: Switch                                         Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: never strikes out, walks at an incredible rate (14.7%) can play multiple positions, very good athlete, has some pop
Negatives: suspended 50 games for failed PED test, struggled in the Arizona Fall League

ETA: 2014

Danny Muno

Projection: Muno is being groomed as a utility man, although I do think he will be able to man an everyday position one day. He has hit on a consistent basis after being drafted out of Fresno State. His athleticism should help his defensive stock as he hits the upper levels.
Best Case Scenario: Marco Scutaro

Baseball America: Best Plate Discipline in System
Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #21 overall





     3. Aderlin Rodriguez

Signed as an International free agent at 16 years old

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: most power of any Minor Leaguer, can be a 30-40 HR guy in the Bigs, good arm, hit 51 XBH this year and drove in 83 runs, had his best season in 2012

Negatives: very little range, has never hit for a high average, takes a while to adjust to each level, doesn’t have a set position, blocked by Davis and Wright

ETA: 2015

Aderlin Rodriguez

Projection: With a tremendous bounce back season in 2012, Aderlin Rodriguez is back on the map as a legitimate Major League prospect. His 24 home runs and 83 RBIs lead all Minor Leaguers. He got his average up to a respectable .263 as well, and sported a slugging percentage of .476. It took Aderlin nearly two years to figure out the SAL, but he’s only 21 so there’s still plenty of time for him to keep improving. For a team that desperately needs power, this man is the most pure source they have outside of New York.
Best Case Scenario: Aramis Ramirez with less of an average

Not in any Major Rankings
Baseball America: Best Power Hitter in Organization
Baseball America: Best Infield Arm in the System
Across the John Rank: #16 overall




     2.    Gavin Cecchini

     Barbe H.S. (Lake Charles, LA) (1st Round, 12th overall in 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 19

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Short Season-A Brooklyn

Positives: great all-around shortstop beyond his years, incredible athlete, great baseball mind/instincts, advanced hitting skills, good arm and baserunning ability

Negatives: not one tool is super special, needs to develop more power if he’s going to be a star

ETA: 2016


Gavin Cecchini

Projection: Cecchini is a teenager and still has a lot to prove, but he has all the makings of a Major League shortstop. From playing on ESPN at 12 years old in the Little League World Series to having a brother who is a Red Sox prospect, Gavin has the spotlight and pedigree questions answered already. His humble attitude and raw ability adds up to a kid who has absolutely nothing stopping him from being a starting infielder in the Big Leagues. It’s all within his control.
Best Case Scenario: Erick Aybar with leadership capabilities

MLB.com Ranks: #6 prospect in system (#1 infielder)
Baseball Prospectus Ranks: #6 prospect in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: #2 prospect in system (#1 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Pure Hitter of the 2012 draft class
Across the John Rank: #8 overall



      1.    Wilmer Flores

Signed as an International free agent in 2007

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Triple-A Las Vegas

Positives: naturally powerful person, makes consistent contact, good plate discipline, has developed legit power, .300 average with 50 XBH last year, always stays healthy

Negatives: slow-footed, doesn’t have a position, average defensively

ETA: late 2013 / early 2014


Wilmer Flores

Projection: Flores is a natural hitter who has rekindled his stock in many prospect rankings after a strong 2012. With the Mets infield seemingly set, it’s hard to picture Flores playing for the Mets this year. He’s probably almost ready to contribute and can be an impact bat very soon, but he needs to find a position first. My guess is they try him at second base and trade Daniel Murphy next year if Flores performs in Las Vegas. Wilmer hits a lot of fly balls, so it’s very possible that the thin PCL air sends his home run totals to the moon. If an infielder gets hurt for the long-term, it’s very possible we see the Venezuelan this season.
Best Case Scenario: poor man’s Miguel Cabrera

MLB.com Ranks: #7 in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: #6 in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Hitter for Average in the System
Baseball Prospectus Ranks: #5 in system (#1 infielder)
Across the John Rankings: #5 overall


Honorable Mention: Eric Campbell (#57), Allan Dykstra (#64), Jeff Diehl (#73), Robbie Shields (#77)