Showing posts with label vittas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label vittas. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Top 10 Disappointments of the 2012 Mets Minor Leagues

by John Vittas


In what was a very successful year for the Mets Minor League teams, there were a few disappointments. From injuries, to lack of production, to unsigned draft picks, to entire lineups who failed to produce, here marks the disappointments of the Mets farm system in 2012:


10. The 2012 Draft and Signability

Many are already calling the 2011 draft one of the best in Mets history. But as of now, it doesn’t appear that Paul DePodesta and the Mets’ Minor League brain trust followed suit in 2012.

The Mets were only able to sign 19 of their 40 picks in 2012, losing 21 players to college commitments. By comparison, in 2011, they signed 37 of their 50 picks, including their top 12 selections and 19 of their top 20 picks. That’s a percentage drop-off from 74% down to 45% this year.

The biggest individual failure in the 2012 draft was the Mets inability to sign 2nd round pick, Teddy Stankiewicz. The 6-foot-4-inch righty was projected to be a legitimate Major League starter, but instead opted to play college ball for Arkansas after the Mets’ offer wasn’t enough to woo him to the pros.

Another significant deficiency in the 2012 draft was that the team did not acquire a single left-handed pitcher, a commodity that the Big League club could certainly use at this point.


9. Pedro Zapata, OF

The prospect window is beginning to close on Pedro Zapata, who will be 25 years old on Opening Day. The tall Dominican has shown flashes of Major League potential in his six-year Minor League career, but struggled mightily in 2012, posting an OPS of just .543 in his first crack in Double-A.

Zapata’s main asset is his combination of size and speed. He stole 36 bases in back-to-back years in 2010 and 2011 and shows a very nice glove in the outfield.

It did take him two years to figure out rookie ball and the Florida State League, so the Mets will likely give him one more crack at Double-A before letting him loose.  Zapata batted .329 during his second season in Kingsport and .292 with 36 stolen bases in his second year with St. Lucie.  If he can duplicate that second-year success in Binghamton this season, Zapata could enter the discussion as the Mets’ fourth or fifth outfielder come 2014.

But long before that happens, Pedro must prove he can hit upper-level pitching, because all of his numbers were downright dreadful in 2012.

Pedro Zapata


8. Joe Tuschak, OF

Tuschak was considered a steal in the sixth round of the draft last year out of Pennsylvania’s Northern High School. Described as a “lottery ticket,” the Mets took a chance on the athletic centerfielder, but so far the returns have not been had.

Tuschak is hitting a lowly .197 in his first two years of rookie ball, clubbing just one home run in 78 career games between the Gulf Coast League in 2011 and Kingsport this season.

The other major issue is his strikeout rate. Tuschak fanned in 32.5% of his plate appearances this year, the third worst figure in the entire Mets organization.

He does walk a good amount, but the former high school quarterback has not been able to turn his elite athleticism into baseball success as of yet.

Joe Tuschak


7. Branden Kaupe, SS

It’s not often you hear of top draft picks coming from Hawaii, but Kaupe fits that description. A 4th-round pick out of Baldwin High School in Wailuku this year, Kaupe’s play has matched his sketch, looking indeed like an 18-year-old who hasn’t yet been exposed to elite competition.

And that’s exactly what Kaupe was in the Appalachian League: exposed. Branden batted a frightening .173 with Kingsport, coupling his average with only two extra-base-hits in 133 at bats, adding up to a SLG% of .195. Yes, that’s his slugging percentage.

But the 5-foot-7 Kaupe is contact hitter, right? Well not exactly. He struck out in 25.7% of his plate appearances, 44 times in 50 games.

Kaupe is clearly extremely young and extremely raw, so it’s probably best to disregard the numbers from his first pro season and let him work to get better.  On the bright side, he possesses blazing speed, good plate discipline and plays what Baseball America called an energetic game.

The Mets are hoping Kaupe is on the same learning curve as fellow teenage shortstop Phillip Evans, a similar player who had a great season in Brooklyn in his second year after being drafted out of high school.

Kaupe is essentially Evans with less power, or a Ruben Tejada / Wilfredo Tovar type with more speed. 

Branden Kaupe




6. Matt Koch, RHP

It’s rare to find a Mets pitcher who disappointed in 2012, especially with the Cyclones, but Koch falls into that category.

His numbers weren’t that bad, but relatively speaking and considering he was a second round pick, he was definitely a disappointment.

Koch posted an ERA a shade above five in his professional debut, allowing 13 runs in 23 and one-third innings. His strikeout to walk ratio was 19:7, so like I said, his numbers weren’t that bad.

The Mets hope Koch was simply worn down from his 22 appearances at Louisville before arriving in Brooklyn.

When you look at Koch’s resume, it screams reliever. He was a reliever at Louisville, and a good one at that, giving up just 17 hits in 32 and one-third innings. He throws in the mid-90s, and can touch 97, but lacks good secondary stuff.

But for some reason, the Mets insist on making him a starter. Koch informed me in July that the team was slowly transitioning him to starting pitching, which was evident by his two starts to round out the season with Brooklyn.

Even though it was only two starts, his ERA was an even 9.00 and I still can’t fathom why the change is being made. The Mets need bullpen help at the Major League level and Koch can get there quickly if he can develop one plus secondary pitch. On top of that, the Mets have a logjam of starters who will be fighting for spots this spring. Why not just let Koch stay where he’s comfortable?

Matt Koch


5. Darrell Ceciliani, OF

Unlike the other nine players on this list, Darrell Ceciliani finds himself in the disappointment category, not because of his play, but because of his lack of it.

Ceciliani missed more than 80 percent of the season due to various hamstring issues. It’s something Darrell will always have to deal with, similar to what Jose Reyes went through during his career.

Thing is, whenever Ceciliani plays, he’s been good. In 85 at bats this year, the Oregon native batted .329 with eight extra-base-hits and ten walks. Ceciliani also picked up 66 additional at bats in the Arizona Fall League this October, posting an OBP of .402.

Some other strengths of the former 4th-round pick include his strong glove, good speed and ability to hit to all fields.

Despite the injuries, Ceciliani still possesses considerable upside. His positive attitude, jubilant personality and young age (22) should aid his adjustment to the upper-levels of the Minor Leagues.

He just needs to stay on the field.

Darrell Ceciliani (Kid's a clown)



4. Cesar Puello, OF

Like his St. Lucie teammate Ceciliani, Cesar Puello spent considerable time on the shelf with hamstring problems in 2012.

He played nearly half the season (66 games), but was only O.K. in his second season in the Florida State League.

The Dominican-born outfielder batted .260 and drove in only 21 runs. He did have 21 extra-base-hits, but only four were round-trippers. As a top-10 prospect each of the last two years, the Mets believed Puello could develop Big League pop, but that has yet to be seen.

The most alarming part of Puello’s game is his inability to draw walks. He drew just seven free passes in nearly 240 plate appearances in 2012. That equates to a walk rate of 3.0%, good for dead last in the entire Mets organization.

He did improve that rate in limited play this winter, but the real good news is Puello’s full package. He is a physical specimen who can run, defend and hit. Baseball America called his arm the best of any outfielder in the system. If Puello can ever develop more power, he has a chance to be a legitimate five-tool Major League player.

Cesar Puello


3. Savannah’s Offense

While the Sand Gnats’ pitching staff led the South Atlantic League in ERA (by a lot), the offensive numbers appeared on the opposite end of the spectrum.

Savannah batted just .244 as a team and was one of only two squads that failed to steal 100 bases.

19 of the 21 players to don a Gnats uniform in 2012 hit under .300, with Cam Maron and T.J. Rivera as the only exceptions.

The main culprits, all of whom had over 200 at bats, were Albert Cordero (.194), Yucarybert De La Cruz (.195), Brandon Brown (.222) and Charley Thurber (.223).

The SAL is known as a pitcher-friendly league, but a team that ranks in the bottom four of almost every offensive category is disappointing at any level.

Offensive Ranks (Out of 14 Teams):
Runs Scored:                          575                11th
AVG:                                     .244               11th
OPS:                                      .691               11th
SB:                                         98                  13th




2. Akeel Morris, RHP

Morris was considered one of the purest raw pitching talents in the Mets’ system prior to his American debut in 2011, but he pitched his way to prospect purgatory in 2012.

His electric stuff and high strikeout numbers should have progressed him through the lower levels with ease, but Morris has yet to pitch above rookie ball, tossing to the tune of a 7.98 ERA in Kingsport this year. The largest contributing factor was surely Akeel’s 22 walks in 38 and one-third innings.

However, following a ten-run debacle on July 24, the Mets moved Morris to the bullpen. The move worked wonders and Morris was considerably better pitching in relief. He gave up just two earned runs in his final 16 innings, despite still issuing ten free passes over that span.

The former 10th round pick out of the Virgin Islands still has a long way to go, but it seems the new role may be of great benefit.

Akeel Morris



1. Albert Cordero, C

There was no bigger disappointment in the Mets farm system in 2012 than Albert Cordero.

It all started this spring when the Mets chose NOT to promote Cordero to High-A after his strong 2011 season in Savannah, excelling in a league known for pitching with a slash line of .286/.324/.382.

But the Mets’ decision proved appropriate, as Cordero regressed with a capital R. That line dropped to .194/.276/.270 in 2012.

23-years-old and still fumbling around in low-A ball, Cordero’s hourglass is about to run out.

The shame in all of it is that Albert is widely considered the best defensive catcher in the system, with Baseball America donning him that honor earlier this month despite the struggles at the plate.

Albert Cordero










Monday, January 14, 2013

10 Pleasant Surprises for the Mets in 2012



by John Vittas



My analysis of the list

10.   Jeremy Hefner


I know what you’re thinking, what did Jeremy Hefner do that was so great? But what you should be asking is, what didn’t he do? Hefner was the Hisanori Takashashi of 2012, filling whatever role the Mets needed and doing so adequately.

He finished 4-7 with a 5.09 ERA, but some of his deeper numbers suggest he pitched much better. If you take out his 7-run debacle against the Phillies in late September, his ERA becomes a respectable 4.42.

And how did Hefner respond to that adversity? He won his last two starts, pitching 14 and one-third innings and allowing just two runs on eight hits, while striking out 14 and walking only three.

It was an up-and-down rookie season for Jeremy Hefner, but who expected he would chew up 93 innings for the Mets prior to the season? No one. That’s why he sneaks onto this list of surprises, and he’ll have a chance to do it again in 2013, either as a long man or as a member of the rotation. 


9. Collin McHugh’s Major League Debut


After Johan Santana was shut down for the season, the Mets called on an 18th rounder out of a tiny Georgia college. Collin McHugh arrived to the ballpark just hours before he was set to take on the Colorado Rockies at Citi Field.

He took the mound and never looked back, tossing seven shutout innings of two hit ball, walking only one and striking out nine. McHugh struggled as the swingman in September, but his August 23rd debut provided a much-needed shot in the arm for a struggling team and showed the potential that McHugh and the entire Mets farm system has in the years to come.

Collin McHugh


8.    Chris Young and Jon Rauch Standing Tall Through Injury


The Mets pitching staff had a lot of holes to fill this past season, especially after Mike Pelfrey and Dillon Gee went down with season-ending injuries.

While the Mets struggled to fill those gaps with average pitchers, two veterans who did step up despite physical ailments were Jon Rauch and Chris Young.

Young overcame a second major shoulder surgery to become as reliable as anyone in the rotation. While a 4.15 ERA might not win him a Cy Young award anytime soon, the Princeton grad gave New York 12 quality starts and never missed a start, finishing the season strong with a 2.73 September ERA.

Rauch, on the other hand, flourished in the middle of the season, allowing just two runs in 25 appearances between July and August.

What makes Rauch’s effort so remarkable was that he put together a solid season at age 33 after a rough 2011, which left many wondering whether he would ever amount to his old self again.

But Rauch answered the questions by grossing a WHIP below one, somehow managing to stay off the disabled list despite battling two balky knees that had to be drained several times throughout the season.

And yes, I know, the joke’s on me but you have to admit the title of this section is clever (Rauch is 6’11” and Young is 6’10”).



7.  The Ability of and Emergence of Young Lefties Jordany Valdespin and Josh Edgin


Of the many Buffalo Bisons that emerged out of the Mets dugout this year, Jordany Valdespin and Josh Edgin proved they belong in the orange and blue.

Edgin allowed just three runs in his first 13 outings, and backed it up with a stretch of 16 straight scoreless appearances in August and September.

After two disappointing outings against the Phillies, his ERA ballooned to 4.56 and the Mets shut him down. But don’t overlook the mediocre earned-run average. Edgin’s WHIP was only 1.13 and he struck out 30 batters in under 26 innings.

The southpaw out of Francis Marion College proved he can get Major League hitters and out and even overpower them at times. At the very least, Edgin can be a lefty specialist. He held left-handed hitters to a remarkable .164 average this year.

Valdespin, on the other hand, has a package of talent unmatched throughout the organization. In my amateur opinion, he’s the only current Met that could have competed with Jose Reyes and Angel Pagan athletically.

If you extend Valdespin’s production over a full MLB season, he would have hit 25 home runs and stolen over 30 bases. That’s a rare speed-power combo to say the least when you look across the Mets’ skill set.

On top of it all, Valdespin broke the club record for pinch-hit home runs in a season and provided a large portion of the exciting moments of 2012.

But in addition to his long swing, Valdespin’s primary downside has always been his behavior. He was suspended for two games for not running out a batted ball in the Dominican Winter League last month and decided it would be a good idea to tweet pictures of himself in fancy clothes wearing a Miami Marlins hat.

Selfies on Twitter? What grown man does that? Imagine Bill Gates tweeting a picture of himself smiling behind an iMac. I’m sure that would go over well.

As Valdespin continues to walk the fine line between swagger and obnoxiousness, there’s no doubting his ability to be an impact player at the highest level.


Jordany Valdespin's Season Highlights




6. Jon Niese's Big Step Forward 


Not only did Jon Niese finish his first full and healthy season in the Big Leagues in 2012, but he achieved the most success he’s ever experienced in the Major Leagues. The lefty from Ohio put up career highs in wins, innings, strikeouts, ERA and WHIP, essentially the five most important basic statistics for a starting pitcher.

After fading down the stretch each of the previous two years, Niese stayed healthy and effective until the end of 2012. In fact, he put up some his best efforts in the final two months, earning an ERA of 2.57 over that span.

With R.A. Dickey in Toronto, Niese heads into 2013 as the de facto ace. Johan Santana may still get the ball on Opening Day, but Niese will likely be the best pitcher the staff, as he enters his prime at age 26.

Jon Niese


    


5. Official Announcement of Citi Field as the Host for the 2013 ASG


Rumors had swirled that Major League Baseball had interest in moving the All Star Game back to New York in 2013, but when the announcement was formally made in mid-May, every Mets fan had to be delighted.

It will be the first Mid-Summer Classic to be hosted by the Mets since Shea Stadium’s inaugural season of 1964. The entire baseball spotlight will be focused on Citi Field for a few days, and that thought alone has to make Mets fans smile. Because let’s be real, the good memories at Citi have been few and far between in the stadium’s lackluster history.

Commissioner Bud Selig makes ASG Announcement and Wilpons offer thoughts


4. The Value of Scott Hairston


One of the biggest offseason questions still surrounding the Mets’ 2012-2013 offseason his certainly whether Scott Hairston is worth bringing back on a two-year contract.

When you look at his value to the team in 2012, he undoubtedly is. Hairston stepped in to start 86 games in 2012, much more than he signed up for.

Usually extended at bats will expose a bench player, but Hairston more than held his own, leading the entire club in slugging, earning a .504 mark, twelve points ahead of David Wright.

He never got cheated on a single swing, spanking several missiles into orbit in his tenure with New York.

Hairston hit 20 home runs for the first time in his career in 2012 and appears to be getting better at age 32. If the Mets fail to acquire an impact outfield bat this offseason, they will miss Hairston’s power tremendously.



3. Matt Harvey’s Test Run


There is no greater source of hope for the Mets than Matt Harvey. The 23-year-old from Connecticut set the National League on fire following his promotion to the Major Leagues.

Harvey provided one of the highlights of the season on July 26, dazzling the Diamondbacks in his Major League debut, punching out 11 Arizona hitters over 5 and one-third shutout innings in a truly dominating performance.

But the best part was that Harvey sustained his effectiveness over ten starts, finishing strong with a 7-inning, one-run gem against Philadelphia to end the year.

All in all: 70 strikeouts in 59 and one-third innings, an ERA of 2.73 with eight of his ten starts going for 2 earned runs or less.

With R.A. Dickey gone, more weight falls on Harvey’s shoulders to be a stopper in 2013. With his perfectionist attitude and razor-sharp focus, Matthew Harvey should blossom into a superstar very soon.

Matt Harvey



2.  Johan Santana’s No-Hitter


Most Mets fans may be surprised to find Johan’s no-no at #2. Some might put it number one for the decade. But you’ll find out why in a second.

June 1st was a night to remember for Mets fans. A left arm trying to return to relevance after a devastating injury that left Johan wondering if he would ever pitch well again.

Dramatic words aside, everything about Santana’s no-hitter was indeed, theatrical. From Baxter’s spectacular catch, to Beltran’s line drive that clipped the third base line (or, didn’t), to the final inning, it was undoubtedly the best night in the history of Citi Field.

Eight strikeouts, five walks, 134 pitches. Nine innings, no hits. History sealed for the aging lefty legend from Venezuela. Every bit of that 6 year, $137.5 million dollar contract, earned. 


Brilliant Call of Howie Rose


Johan's Victory Cry

ESPN's Jayson Stark puts it in perspective



1.  R.A. Dickey’s Cy Young Campaign


As impossible as a Mets no-hitter seemed, a Cy Young-award season from a journeyman knuckleballer was an equally as unlikely tale.

R.A. Dickey came into 2012 with 1283 innings logged in the Minor Leagues over 14 painstaking seasons. He had been through four organizations and had been released, discarded or demoted more than anyone could count.

With only one full Major League season under his belt, Dickey not only proved he belonged, but dominated a level of baseball that had eluded him for over a decade.

The numbers tell the story, 233 innings, 230 strikeouts, a 20-6 record and an ERA of 2.73. He finished it off with a day to remember, picking up his twentieth win in front of a grateful Citi Field crowd, who came to celebrate R.A.’s brilliance and cheer for him one last time.

Dickey baffled the National League with the most effective pitch Planet Earth has ever seen. Seriously though, what other pitcher has ever been able to dictate an entire league with one pitch?

Dickey’s six years of work with the knuckleball has finally come to fruition. Just in time for New York to cash-in on two front-end prospects. After all the memories Dickey has provided the past three years, there is no doubting how much he will be missed in 2013.

SNY Post Game Extra - Dickey's 20th Win

Season Highlights

ESPN's E60 Piece on Dickey's Journey