Showing posts with label matt reynolds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label matt reynolds. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Top 10 Minor League Headlines from 2013

by John Vittas

1. The Dominance of Noah Syndergaard

By far the most Major League-relevant storyline from the farm system in 2013 was the first season of Noah Syndergaard. He wasn’t good, he was great. All the numbers indicate future success, and from what the scouts say, he will be an ace.

Syndergaard gave up 10 less hits than innings, and struck out better than 10 batters per nine. If you take out his disaster of a final start in August, he posted a 2.43 ERA. But superseding the numbers is his stuff, which reportedly improved in 2013.

Syndergaard dropped his arm slot and didn’t lose any command, allowing him to pump 96-98 consistently. Not to mention he has a wipeout curveball. I’d be shocked if Noah wasn’t in the Mets’ rotation by July 1 next year. The prospects of a Harvey, Wheeler, Syndergaard, Niese, Gee rotation is a pleasant one. When you factor in Rafael Montero and Jenrry Mejia, it gets even scarier.

Photo: Baseball America
Syndergaard stands to make the Harvey-Wheeler duo a trio


2. The Success from Top to Bottom

The once A-ball prospects we’d been hearing about have now reached the upper levels and Paul DePodesta has continued to stock talent from top to bottom, resulting in wins throughout the program.

The system-wide .532 winning percentage is impressive, but consider that the four full-season squads posted a .569 mark. That percentage over a 554-game sample will make statsitcal nerds jump out of their seats.

The 51’s 81-63 mark was the best by a Mets Triple-A team since the Matt Franco-led 2001 Norfolk Tides. Keep in mind, the majority of the Triple-A talent resided in Flushing this season, and their rotation was full of journeymen, so it’s no surprise that the 51’s led the PCL in slugging. Give Wally Backman a lot of credit here.

A championship was won by a Mets affiliate in 2013 as well (seeing “championship” and “Mets” in the same sentence is mind-blowing). It was the first by a Mets’ affiliate since 2006. The low-A Savannah Sand Gnats took the South Atlantic League title thanks to a Johnson-Schiling-like postseason rampage put on by Steven Matz and Gabriel Ynoa. Those two led the league’s second-best pitching staff to a 3.15 team ERA and a 77-61 overall record.

But the best team in 2013 was the Double-A Binghamton Mets. Their 86-55 (.610) mark cleared the rest of the competition in the Eastern League by a comfortable 10 games, as the pitching staff and offense both ranked top-2 in the league. Manager Pedro Lopez led the B-Mets to their first playoff appearance since 2004 in his first season at the helm. He has dominated at every level he’s coached at, and has become a major managerial prospect in baseball.

Photo: metsmerizedonline.com
1B Allan Dykstra was a huge reason for the B-Mets offensive success


3. The Arrival of the Lefty Relievers

For a Major League team that lacked a lockdown lefty, the Mets’ now possess several successful southpaws in their farm system. Jack Leathersich, Adam Kolarek, Hamilton Bennett, Jim Fuller, TJ Chism and Chase Huchingson all had dominant seasons, and made believers out of many scouts.

Outside of Leathersich, the rest of the group appeared to be non-factors on most prospect lists, but Kolarek and Huchingson have continued to dominate Double-A hitters, and could be in Flushing sooner than later.

Here’s some of the numbers:
Leathersich: 102 strikeouts in 58 innings
Kolarek: 2.28 ERA - third straight season with an ERA below 3, has improved that mark in each of his 4 minor league seasons
Bennett: 1.85 ERA (2nd straight sub-2 season, career 2.30 ERA)
Huchingson: 55 hits in 67 innings, 1.61 ERA in his first season in the pen
Fuller: 0.84 ERA in St. Lucie, 15 hits in 32 innings
Chism: 2.21 ERA (3rd consecutive season below 2.40)



4. The Power of Dustin Lawley, Allan Dykstra and Travis Taijeron

Speaking of non-factors on the prospect scene, the three sluggers listed above all had tremendous seasons. All with 20-plus homer seasons, it was Dykstra who posted a .938 OPS, walking an eye-popping 102 times.

Lawley finished second in the organization (Wilmer Flores) with 96 RBIs and led the system with 26 home runs. However, Taijeron might be the most promising of the bunch, since he can play multiple outfield positions and led the trio in average for most of the season, posting a .303 mark with St. Lucie.



5. Michael Fulmer’s Lost Season

The young Oklahoma star missed the first half of the season after tearing his meniscus in Spring Training, and then was forced to shut it down at the end. He managed just nine starts, two of them of the rehab variety. He did fare well, however.

Despite the lack of time on the mound, Fulmer is touted as a kid who already knows how to pitch, so the lost time isn’t as detrimental as it usually would be for a 20-year-old. He’ll probably be back in Port St. Lucie next year, but his 2015 arrival time may still be feasible.

Photo: ESPN
Fulmer in Spring Training (left)


Disclaimer: He may fall out of the top-10 on many prospect lists, but don’t get caught napping on Fulmer.




6. The Next Wave of Starting Pitchers Takes Shape

This could be the most promising news of the year. Despite the plethora of arms throughout the system, the lower levels lacked them. But four youngsters posted big-time numbers after showing considerable improvement in 2013:

John Gant: 81 Ks in 71 IPs (2nd in league behind teammate Miller Diaz), 2.89 ERA
Chris Flexen: 8-1 with a 2.09 ERA, 53 H in 69 IPs, 2 shutouts at 19 years old
Rob Whalen: 1.87 ERA in first full season, .187 opponents AVG, 2.4 ground outs per fly ball
Robert Gsellman: 2.58 ERA pitching at all 3 levels of A-ball, only 20 years old

A little seasoning has given their Big League bodies some Big League arsenals. All were drafted for their potential, and all are beginning to realize it. All four have gotten their fastballs consistently over 90 miles an hour, and all have touched 94 at one time or another.

Chances are we’ll see them all together in Savannah next year, which would make for yet another dominant, promising staff for famous pitching coach Frank Viola.

Photo: metsmerizedonline.com
19-year old Chris Flexen



7. The Suspension of Cesar Puello

No position player in the system has as high of a ceiling as Cesar Puello. He was often talked about before 2013, but there was always a caveat next to his prospect status: he never put up numbers. Well this year, he did.  And he hit a lot. He batted .326 in 91 games, boasting a robust .950 OPS at the Double-A level. It took him five years, but at 22, Cesar Puello was finally hitting, and doing it for power (16 HRs).

However, he did it all under a cloud of suspicion, as his name was one of the few non-Major Leaguers on the Biogenesis list. And sure enough, the suspension came down in August and Puello’s best professional year came to a screeching halt.

There was a chance he would have played for the Mets in September if he was clean, but regardless, I’d bet we see him in New York at some point in 2014.


8. The Domingo Tapia Project

Domingo Tapia throws hard, 100 miles-an-hour to be exact. But his first stint in the Florida State League did not go well, as he walked 63 batters in 101 innings. The worst part was that he averaged less than five innings per start, including a few where he was yanked in the second inning.

There’s no doubt the Dominican Tapia has promise, but he will have to sharpen up his breaking ball and locate more consistently to reach the Show.

 Photo: metsminors.com
Domingo Tapia



9. Matt Reynolds Looking Like a Waste of a Second Rounder

He was never a big prospect, but Matt Reynolds was an elite college hitter with leadership ability and a strong  all-around game. Well in his first two years in the Minors, he’s a career .234 hitter with just eight home runs. A 23-year old who can’t hit in A-ball leaves doesn’t sound as appetizing as a 21-year old 2nd-round captain out of the SEC, which is what Reynolds was less than two years ago.

Photo: ncaa.com
Former Razorback star Matt Reynolds


10. Rainy Lara and Gabriel Ynoa Not Looking Back

Remember that dominant 2012 Brooklyn Cyclones rotation? Well the crew had an overall successful 2013. Luis Cessa and Hansel Robles had solid years, but it was Gabriel Ynoa and Rainy Lara who shined.

While in Savannah, Lara led the entire Minor Leagues in WHIP (0.89) and ERA (1.42) through his first eight starts, earning him the promotion to the Florida State League. Ynoa, on the other hand, remained in Savannah and absolutely lit up the South Atlantic League.

He finished fourth in the league with a 2.72 ERA, giving up just five runs in his final four regular season starts. Ynoa carried his dominance into the playoffs, where he gave up just two runs in 14 and two-thirds postseason innings, leading the Gnats to the SAL championship.


Former Met, New York-native and 3-time MLB All Star Frank Viola continues to work wonders with young Mets' arms when they reach Savannah




Friday, February 8, 2013

Top 10 Mets Infield Prospects

by John Vittas

10. Matt Reynolds


Univ. of Arkansas (2nd Round of the 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                           Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 22

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: very versatile infielder, decent speed and solid in the field, a natural line-drive hitter, compact, short stroke, good plate discipline, hits well with runners on base, athletic, has leadership qualities

Negatives: only average power, lacking a position: not enough for corner infield spot, may not be good enough defensively to be a Major League shortstop

ETA: 2015
Matt Reynolds

Projection: Reynolds is described as a high floor, low ceiling kind of player. Therefore, the Tulsa native projects as a utility infielder if he reaches the highest level. He was a captain at Arkansas and is the high-character leader you want in a locker room.
Best-Case Scenario: reliable, utility infielder (Ryan Theriot type)

MLB.com Ranks: #18 in system (#5 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Pure Hitter of the Draft Class
Across the John Rank: #52 overall



9. Wilfredo Tovar

Signed as an International Free Agent in 2007 (Venezuela)

Bats: Right                               Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: excellent defender, good arm, rarely strikes out (8.6%), had enough power this year (28 doubles), held his own in Double-A

Negatives: will never hit home runs, undersized for a pro athlete (5’10”/160 wet and standing on a phone book)

ETA: 2014

Wilfredo Tovar


Projection: Tovar does not look like a future Major Leaguer at first glance, but he has produced at every level and is a superb shortstop. He has to hit for a high average or he will never be a starter. The Venezuelan is straight out of the mold of Ruben Tejada, literally identical.
Best Case Scenario: he hits like Tejada is in the Majors

MLB.com Ranks: #16 in system (#4 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Defensive Infielder in the System
John Vittas Rank: #48 overall



8. T.J. Rivera

Signed as an Undrafted Free Agent in 2011 (Troy University)

Bats: Right                                           Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: off-the-charts numbers at every level so far, hits much better with runners on base, decent power (42 extra-base hits)

Negatives: lacks any outstanding tools, not considered a prospect by most

ETA: 2015

T.J. Rivera

Projection: It’s really hard to project Rivera. He doesn’t profile as a Major Leaguer so if he makes it, he’ll be a man who is defined by beating the odds, which he’s been doing since he was passed up in every single draft he was eligible for. There is no best and worst case scenarios for this guy, he blew through his ceiling a long time ago. I wouldn’t bet against him, so that's why he makes my list.
Best Case Scenario: TBD

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Ranking: #45 overall



7. Jayce Boyd

Florida State University (6th Round of the 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: plus defender, exceptional arm and good speed for a first baseman, smooth swing, natural power to all fields, Major League body, walks a ton, one of the best hitters of the decade in the ACC

Negatives: not enough power to be prototypical power-hitting first baseman (20 HR in 727 college ABs), didn’t fair too well in his first pro season (.239 average)

ETA: 2015

Jayce Boyd


Projection: Boyd’s a guy who I am particularly high on. He tore up one of the highest levels of college baseball for three straight years. He stole 22 bases, slugged 78 extra-base-hits and drove in 160 runs in 198 collegiate games. And when you consider his .424 career OBP, the kid is a consistent, well-rounded prospect. To me, he’s a sixth round steal and could be an everyday Major League player one day.
Best Case Scenario: right-handed Adam LaRoche with a little less power

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #34 overall



6.    Dustin Lawley

West Florida (19th Round of 2011 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 23

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: no particular weakness, solid all-around player, run producer, hits a ton of doubles, good power, can play multiple positions, aggressive hitter, plays the game hard

Negatives: age, strikes out too much, could be more selective

ETA: 2015


Dustin Lawley

Projection: Lawley was one of the most productive hitters in the organization in 2012, and earned that title while playing in a pitching-dominated league. He doesn’t get cheated at the plate, and has legitimate power to all fields. Dustin can play outfield, although his main position is third base, so he’ll have to keep developing his defensive skills elsewhere if he wants to be a Met one day. A couple of comparisons Mets fans should be somewhat familiar with who Lawley emulates: Zach Lutz at the plate, Collin Cowgill everywhere else
Best Case Scenario: power-hitting third corner outfielder

Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #31 overall



    5. Phillip Evans

La Costa Canyon H.S. (Carlsbad, CA) (15th Round of 2011 Draft)
     
     Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

     Opening Day Age: 20

    Projected Opening Day Assignment: Low-A Savannah

    Positives: has every skill necessary to be a good SS, works counts and walks a lot, good defender, short, compact swing, plays hard, embraces the spotlight, ahead of the age clock

    Negatives: power isn’t immense, needs to learn how to get out of slumps, needs to hit the breaking ball better

    ETA: 2015


Phillip Evans

    Projection: Evans is one of those guys who just stands out on a baseball field. Even though he’s small and doesn’t hit skyscraping bombs, Phillip plays with an intensity and a swagger that makes people notice him. He’s a line drive machine who definitely has Major League potential even without plus speed or power.
    Best Case Scenario: Elvis Andrus without the speed or a flashier Ruben Tejada

    MLB.com Ranks: #19 in system (#6 infielder)
    Across the John Rank: #24 overall



     4.    Danny Muno

Fresno State (8th Round of 2011 Draft)

Bats: Switch                                         Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 24

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Double-A Binghamton

Positives: never strikes out, walks at an incredible rate (14.7%) can play multiple positions, very good athlete, has some pop
Negatives: suspended 50 games for failed PED test, struggled in the Arizona Fall League

ETA: 2014

Danny Muno

Projection: Muno is being groomed as a utility man, although I do think he will be able to man an everyday position one day. He has hit on a consistent basis after being drafted out of Fresno State. His athleticism should help his defensive stock as he hits the upper levels.
Best Case Scenario: Marco Scutaro

Baseball America: Best Plate Discipline in System
Not in any Major Rankings
Across the John Rank: #21 overall





     3. Aderlin Rodriguez

Signed as an International free agent at 16 years old

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: High-A St. Lucie

Positives: most power of any Minor Leaguer, can be a 30-40 HR guy in the Bigs, good arm, hit 51 XBH this year and drove in 83 runs, had his best season in 2012

Negatives: very little range, has never hit for a high average, takes a while to adjust to each level, doesn’t have a set position, blocked by Davis and Wright

ETA: 2015

Aderlin Rodriguez

Projection: With a tremendous bounce back season in 2012, Aderlin Rodriguez is back on the map as a legitimate Major League prospect. His 24 home runs and 83 RBIs lead all Minor Leaguers. He got his average up to a respectable .263 as well, and sported a slugging percentage of .476. It took Aderlin nearly two years to figure out the SAL, but he’s only 21 so there’s still plenty of time for him to keep improving. For a team that desperately needs power, this man is the most pure source they have outside of New York.
Best Case Scenario: Aramis Ramirez with less of an average

Not in any Major Rankings
Baseball America: Best Power Hitter in Organization
Baseball America: Best Infield Arm in the System
Across the John Rank: #16 overall




     2.    Gavin Cecchini

     Barbe H.S. (Lake Charles, LA) (1st Round, 12th overall in 2012 Draft)

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 19

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Short Season-A Brooklyn

Positives: great all-around shortstop beyond his years, incredible athlete, great baseball mind/instincts, advanced hitting skills, good arm and baserunning ability

Negatives: not one tool is super special, needs to develop more power if he’s going to be a star

ETA: 2016


Gavin Cecchini

Projection: Cecchini is a teenager and still has a lot to prove, but he has all the makings of a Major League shortstop. From playing on ESPN at 12 years old in the Little League World Series to having a brother who is a Red Sox prospect, Gavin has the spotlight and pedigree questions answered already. His humble attitude and raw ability adds up to a kid who has absolutely nothing stopping him from being a starting infielder in the Big Leagues. It’s all within his control.
Best Case Scenario: Erick Aybar with leadership capabilities

MLB.com Ranks: #6 prospect in system (#1 infielder)
Baseball Prospectus Ranks: #6 prospect in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: #2 prospect in system (#1 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Pure Hitter of the 2012 draft class
Across the John Rank: #8 overall



      1.    Wilmer Flores

Signed as an International free agent in 2007

Bats: Right                                            Throws: Right

Opening Day Age: 21

Projected Opening Day Assignment: Triple-A Las Vegas

Positives: naturally powerful person, makes consistent contact, good plate discipline, has developed legit power, .300 average with 50 XBH last year, always stays healthy

Negatives: slow-footed, doesn’t have a position, average defensively

ETA: late 2013 / early 2014


Wilmer Flores

Projection: Flores is a natural hitter who has rekindled his stock in many prospect rankings after a strong 2012. With the Mets infield seemingly set, it’s hard to picture Flores playing for the Mets this year. He’s probably almost ready to contribute and can be an impact bat very soon, but he needs to find a position first. My guess is they try him at second base and trade Daniel Murphy next year if Flores performs in Las Vegas. Wilmer hits a lot of fly balls, so it’s very possible that the thin PCL air sends his home run totals to the moon. If an infielder gets hurt for the long-term, it’s very possible we see the Venezuelan this season.
Best Case Scenario: poor man’s Miguel Cabrera

MLB.com Ranks: #7 in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: #6 in system (#2 infielder)
Baseball America: Best Hitter for Average in the System
Baseball Prospectus Ranks: #5 in system (#1 infielder)
Across the John Rankings: #5 overall


Honorable Mention: Eric Campbell (#57), Allan Dykstra (#64), Jeff Diehl (#73), Robbie Shields (#77)